Kentucky Wildcats Men's Basketball 2021-22: A Fan's Preview

Being a University of Kentucky Wildcats basketball fanatic is one of my weaknesses. I devote too much time to watching, listening to, and reading about UK basketball. Thankfully, I’m not as zealous as I used to be, but I look forward to the upcoming 2021-22 season.

Last Season
For those who don’t know, last year the Wildcats’ men’s basketball team finished with a dismal 9-16 record as shown in the team’s stats. This was the team’s worst record since its 1926-27 season, according to sports-reference.com.

My guess is that COVID-19 restrictions on practices impacted Kentucky more than many other teams. A young, inexperienced team like UK Coach John Calipari often features needs more practice time to develop than an experienced team might. At least that’s my amateur perspective.

My History as a Fan
I’ve been a University of Kentucky basketball fan since at least the 1969-70 season. At age 12, I cried after that #1 ranked 1969-70 UK team led by All-American Dan Issel lost in the NCAA tournament to Jacksonville which was led by Artis Gilmore.

It’s sad that a person, even a child, could take a basketball loss so seriously. After all, it’s only a game. But it’s been stated that UK basketball is almost a religion in Kentucky. And there’s likely at least a bit of truth to that.

As a college student a few decades ago, I sometimes camped out in order to be in line for quality seats for UK home games. And I wasn’t the only one. Typically a crowd of students camped outside Memorial Coliseum seeking to get nice tickets for seats in the lower arena.

Over the years, I accumulated things to show my fan support for UK men's basketball (as well as UK women's basketball and UK football), including those pictured below.

This Season
This year I (and others) expect Kentucky to be a much better team and return to its winning ways, reaching the NCAA Sweet Sixteen (or better). ESPN’s “Way-Too-Early Top 25” on August 31st, 2021 listed UK as #9 in the country. That forecast seems reasonable to me.

A highlight of Kentucky’s 2021-22 schedule is a November 9th game against Duke in New York’s Madison Square Garden. Duke is another powerhouse that was an underachiever last year. This game will offer an early checkup on how the two teams have improved this year. Added emotion will come from this being Duke Coach Mike Krzyzewski’s final season as Duke coach. I especially look forward to this game.

A January 29th, 2022 game at Kansas is probably the other highlight of the nonconference season. And the SEC schedule features some strong competition. The SEC is a much better basketball conference than it used to be. I expect a few other SEC teams to be ranked in the top 25, though not as good as Kansas, Duke, or (I hope) Kentucky.

Roster
This year’s Kentucky team includes a roster that is possibly Coach Calipari’s most experienced one during his coaching career at Kentucky, featuring returnees, quality transfers with experience, and incoming freshmen.

I’m not going to speculate on who will start. My guess is that Coach John Calipari is still weighing options in this regard. Maybe competition for a starting position will lead to extra effort by players.

The Future
The future looks even brighter for the Wildcats. Kentucky’s ongoing recruiting for the 2022-23 season is off to a great start, with three quality commitments ranked #1, #6, and #17 in the country by 24/7Sports.

Closing Thoughts
It remains to be seen how COVID-19 will affect the upcoming season and the future. As of now, UK Athletics has announced plans to allow full capacity for events, including Big Blue Madness, the opening practice in Rupp Arena, but attendees will be required to wear masks.

I expect an exciting season. But remember that basketball is only a game. It’s not that important in the grand scheme of things.

NOTE:This article was last revised October 1, 2021.

Kentucky Wildcats Women's Basketball 2021-22: A Fan's Preview

An exciting season awaits the University of Kentucky Wildcats women’s basketball team.

It potentially could be their best ever. And they've enjoyed some wonderful ones in the past. Giveaways like the tee shirt and the banner pictured below added to the atmosphere in past seasons. The free "T" shirts that were thrown in the stands for fans to catch after a UK women's team player hit a three-point shot were especially popular.

All-American Rhyne Howard, a candidate for national player of the year, leads an experienced team that in my (probably biased) opinion, has a reasonable chance at reaching the NCAA Tournament Final Four for the first time in program history, and a good chance of reaching the Elite Eight for the first time since the 2012-13 season.

Coach Kyra Elzy is in her second season as head coach after coach Matthew Mitchell’s abrupt departure before the start of last season for health reasons. An off-season accident led him to retire. Her year’s experience as a head coach, after serving as an assistant for years, will make her a more effective coach this season, as I see it.

Avoiding injuries and foul trouble are a key to success, especially avoiding such things for star player Howard.

Roster
Rhyne Howard, mentioned earlier, is the star of the team. But success comes from quality teamwork. And UK has other talented players.

Dre’una Edwards, a 6’2 red shirt junior forward performed impressively last year in the early part of the season after her redshirt year. I anticipate her performing all season closer to that level this year. She had been 2019 Pac-12 Conference Freshman of the Year before transferring to Kentucky.

Relaxed transfer rules allowed three transfers to play last year without sitting out a year. That year of playing while adapting to the Kentucky system will hopefully make 6’0” senior guard Jazmine Massengill from Tennessee, 5’9” junior guard Robyn Benton from Auburn, and 6’ 4” center Olivia Owens a redshirt junior from Maryland more effective this season. Owens sat out her second year at Maryland due to medical issues before transferring to Kentucky and playing last season for the Wildcats.

Blair Green, a 6’0” senior guard, and Treasure Hunt, a 6’1” sophomore guard whom I expect to be much improved over her rookie season, will provide the Cats plenty of depth at the guard position.

I expect UK to start at least three guards and often play four of them at the same time. I hope to see Kentucky return to its well-known pressure defense.

Nyah Leveretter, a 6’3” sophomore forward who rebounds well, Emma King a 5”10’” junior guard, Erin Toller a 5’7” sophomore guard, and Jada Walker a 5’7” freshman guard give the Cats more depth.

From last year’s team, the Cats will miss guard Chasity Patterson, frontline players Keke McKinney and Tayana Wyatt, and guard Kameron Roach. They were seniors last year and elected not to return to Kentucky this year despite NCAA COVID-19 protocol allowing seniors to return another year. McKinney and Patterson are the biggest losses. But improved play from Edwards, Owens, and Leveretter will help the frontline. And Kentucky is blessed with much depth at guard.

Kentucky’s strength this year as usual will be its guard play. Furthermore, despite the player departures, Kentucky should be a better team overall, thanks to several returnees with experience, especially All-American Rhyne Howard.

The 2021-22 team’s complete roster is listed on the University of Kentucky Athletics website.

Nonconference Schedule
Kentucky’s nonconference schedule includes some games that should be relatively easy, giving the Cats a chance to play the bench, have fun, and learn while gaining wins.

But it also includes an early, November 14th, road game at Indiana and a December 12th game at Louisville. Both those opponents are likely to be ranked in the top ten in the nation when Kentucky plays them. These two games will give a good feel for how UK is developing.

If the Wildcats finish the preconference schedule with only two losses, they can consider it a success.

Conference Schedule
The sixteen game conference schedule includes one matchup with each of the thirteen other conference teams and home-and-away games against South Carolina, Vanderbilt, and Auburn.

The two games against South Carolina are almost certain to be losses. Connecticut may be the only team in the nation that can compete effectively with South Carolina this season. I’d rank the Gamecocks ahead even of UConn.

Kentucky could conceivably win all the rest of its conference games. But the road game at Tennessee will be tough. Arkansas on the road is almost always tough. And several other conference games can be too. The University of Kentucky athletics website is one of many that list the team’s complete schedule.

Predictions
I expect UK to win at least 20 games before the final whistle sounds in NCAA tournament play. But I foresee as many as seven regular season losses being reasonable.

I expect the Cats to fall to Indiana, Louisville, and possibly one other nonconference opponent.

In the SEC I expect Kentucky to lose to South Carolina at home, and to lose to South Carolina and perhaps two other teams on the road.

However, I also think it’s possible the Cats could reasonably go through the regular season with as few as three losses, only losing to Louisville and twice to South Carolina. This would mean upsetting a likely top-ten Indiana team. Even a win over Louisville doesn't seem too far-fetched.

On April 4th, 2021 ESPN provided a “Way-Too-Early Top 25” that had Kentucky #14. That #14 forecast seems fair, but I optimistically think an Elite Eight finish for the Cats is a realistic hope.

Tournament Time
If the Cats live up to my highest expectations, they will get a #2 seed in the SEC tournament. Then they will lose to South Carolina in the SEC tournament championship game.

Kentucky then receives a #2 seed in the NCAA tournament (though a #3 or #4 seed is perhaps more realistic). Kentucky will then in my optimistic forecast go on to upset someone in the Elite Eight. The Wildcats then fall to either Connecticut or South Carolina in the national semifinals.

I expect a fun, exciting season for Kentucky. UK's colors are blue and white, so I'll write "Go Big Blue," which is often said at UK games and is the message written on the reverse side of the banner pictured earlier. Below I picture the "Go Big Blue" side.

Closing Thoughts
Basketball is only a game. A weakness of mine (and of many other persons, especially perhaps in Kentucky) is devoting too much time and attention to following the sport.

Please remember to treat it as entertainment, a sideline to life, rather than the centerpiece. But have fun.

NOTE: This article was last updated September 20th, 2021.

Kentucky Wildcats Football 2021 Preseason Forecast From One Fan

I’ve been a University of Kentucky (UK) Wildcats football fan for decades, since at least 1973 when I was a teenager. I admit it’s one of my weaknesses.

Actually, I think football is too violent and should be abolished. Huge numbers of injuries occur, and the objective of tackling other players seems counterproductive to good sportsmanship. But I remain a fan. Please feel free to call me a hypocrite.

My Prognostication Qualifications (Or Lack Thereof)

Before making my 2021 preseason predictions for the UK Wildcats, I want to make it clear that I’ve never either coached or played a single game of football in my life. Nonetheless, despite this, over the years I’ve second-guessed decisions of referees and coaches many times.

Furthermore, I’ve frequently filled out preseason forecasts for the UK team’s season, typically for my own personal use. A few times my forecasts proved more accurate than those of media pundits from some major organizations; some other times my forecasts have proved embarrassingly inaccurate.

Overall Expectations for Kentucky This Season

Many expect Kentucky to be an improved team this season. I agree with such expectations. The Cats should do better than last season’s 5-6 record. And I hope for another bowl win--yes, the Cats received a bowl bid last year with a 4-6 record and won the bowl game.

This year I can visualize Kentucky finishing the regular season as poorly as 5-7 or as well as 11-1. I’m expecting 7-5.

Reasons for an improved record this year include the fact this year’s schedule includes four nonconference games that make the overall schedule less difficult than last year's all-SEC regular season schedule. The disappearance of SEC powerhouse foes Alabama and Auburn from the schedule helps. Incoming transfers and freshmen will help make Kentucky better too.

Without further ado, below I provide my amateur, poorly informed (how’s that for honesty?) predictions (guesses?) for how UK will perform this season:

Game By Game Predictions

September 4th, 2021, UK plays the University of Louisiana at Monroe at home, Kroger Field in Lexington, Kentucky. My guess is that (1) the Cats' opening opponent is better than many realize, (2) UK will face opening game jitters, and (3) the game will be closer than expected. I do believe Kentucky depth pulls out the win by a comfortable margin in the fourth quarter though. Indeed, if the Cats lose this season opener, it may not bode well for the rest of the season. But I expect UK to be 1-0 at the end of the day.

September 11th, 2021, Kentucky enjoys another home game, this time against the University of Missouri. Missouri is a good team, but not one of the best in the SEC. UK will use its home field advantage to go 2-0.

September 18th, 2021, a three-game home stand ends with a win over the University of Tennessee at Chattanooga. An easy UK victory puts the Cats at 3-0.

September 25th, 2021, UK begins its toughest weeks of the campaign with a road trip to the University of South Carolina. UK can win this game and may even be favored by many (most?), but I don’t believe that Kentucky will prevail. South Carolina will be a bit better and the Cats fall to 3-1.

October 2nd, 2021, Kentucky is back home to face the University of Florida. This game is potentially winnable, but UK doesn’t beat Florida often. Florida is likely to be deservedly ranked high in the polls, and will defeat the Wildcats by a comfortable margin, as Kentucky falls to 3-2.

October 9th, 2021, Kentucky remains at home for the 5th time in its first 6 games, facing Louisiana State University (LSU). It’s another winnable game, but I expect a good LSU team to be a bit better than my beloved Kentucky team. UK slips to 3-3.

October 16th, 2021, Kentucky has its toughest game of the season on the road at the University of Georgia. It won’t be a blowout, at least I hope not, but it will be clear Georgia is the better team as UK falls to 3-4.

October 30th, 2021, Kentucky journeys on the road to face a surprisingly good Mississippi State team and falls to 3-5. Some pessimistic fans may wonder if Kentucky will win another game this season, but the best is yet to come. The Cats will finish strong as I see it.

November 6th, 2021, UK is back home against the University of Tennessee. Traditionally Tennessee has been a tough opponent for Kentucky. But in recent years Tennessee has not been a football powerhouse. This year the Cats will prevail with the win to go 4-5.

November 13th, 2021, Kentucky will play Vanderbilt in Nashville. The Commodores are not as bad as many people think, but they are not as good as the Wildcats eiher, as Kentucky wins to go 5-5.

November 20th, 2021, Kentucky is back home to face New Mexico State University and win convincingly to be up to 6-5.

November 27th, 2021, the Big Blue Machine goes on the road to take on a reasonably good University of Louisville team. I expect the Cats to play one of their best games of the season, win, and finish the regular season at 7-5.

Kentucky will receive a bowl bid, and a win can (will?) enable the Cats to finish the season at 8-5.

Caution About My Forecast

Forecasting football seasons isn’t easy. Surprises often occur.

I’ve been a UK fan since at least 1973, as mentioned earlier. UK’s most successful season during that time was 1977. The 1977 season began with high expectations. But in the second game that year the Cats went on the road to Baylor and suffered an embarrassing upset. Weaknesses on offense and turnovers by special teams led to a 21-6 loss; while the defense played well, a star defensive player who had been touted by media as a potential All-American, linebacker Jim Kovach, suffered a season ending injury. Media forecasts for the season dropped dramatically, as did my expectations.

However, that UK team did not lose another game. It won 9 in a row to finish 10-1, including an upset of then ranked #4 Penn State on the road. Another highlight of that great Kentucky season was whipping Georgia on the road 33-0. Alas, due to NCAA probation the Wildcats did not get a bowl bid.

My point is to expect surprises this season too. The uncertainties of COVID-19 and its Delta variant add extra unpredictability to this season.

Closing Thoughts

I still own a shirt I purchased as a freshman University of Kentucky student back in 1976 to wear to home UK football games on warm afternoons. It is pictured below.

Go Big Blue! But, fans, remember football is only a game. Whether Kentucky wins or loses matters little in the grand scheme of God’s immense universe.

NOTE: This article was last revised on July 23, 2021.